UFC on Fox 9 Predictions

This Saturday UFC on Fox 9 is on and the action will be coming to us live from the Sleep Train Arena in Sacramento. This will be the third time that the UFC will be hosting an event in this venue. The main card has some great fights in the lower weight classes.

UFC on Fox 9 Betting Predictions

  • Bet Joe Lauzon –172 (SportBet) vs. Mac Danzig

Mac Danzig (21-11-1) has to be on his way out of the UFC soon. He is 3-7 in his L10 fights with two consecutive losses. Lauzon (22-9) has struggled lately, as he has lost 3 of his L4 fights, but Lauzon has fought tougher competition and is simply the better fighter.

Lauzon has a decisive advantage on the ground and he has great grappling. Danzig’s takedown defense isn’t that good (49%). Once this fight ends up on the ground look for Lauzon to lock in a submission. He has 18 career submission wins and should make it 19.

  • Bet Urijah Faber –149 (Pinnacle) vs. Michael Johnson

I went back and forth on this fight. I decided on betting Faber SU, but was debating taking this fight to go to decision (-130). It’s still a long way from Saturday, so I may end up with both still, but I have already locked in Faber at Pinny before his ML odds go up.

Faber may be 34 years old, but I think his wrestling will earn him a win. Johnson is just 22 and has a great future. He has more power than Faber, but Faber is quicker in the cage and hasn’t been knocked out since 2008 in WEC. I like Faber by decision in this one.

  • Bet Court McGee –114 (SportBet) vs. Ryan Laflare

Court McGee (16-3) has looked good at welterweight with wins over Neer and Whittaker. Ryan Laflare (9-0) is 2-0 in the UFC, but he doesn’t have the experience that McGee has. His two UFC fights were against nobodies and I think he’ll struggle against McGee.

McGee will have to watch out for takedowns because Laflare averages 5.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. If this fight ends up going the distance McGee has to make sure he isn’t taken down too often or else he risks losing the fight once it goes to the judges.

  • Bet Pat Healy –154 (SportBet) vs. Bobby Green

Bobby Green (21-5) is on a 6-fight win streak and is 2-0 in the UFC with a win over Volkmann. He’s jumping up in competition now, as Pat Healy (29-17-1) is no slouch. Healy had a rough time against Nurmagomedov, but look for him to bounce back with a win.

Healy should be able to take this fight to the ground and win by submission if he has a smart game plan. Green has some power, so he’ll have to be careful, but if he goes in for takedowns Healy should come out with the win. Green isn’t ready for Healy yet.

  • Bet Lauzon / Faber / McGee / Healy +712 (SportsBet)
posted in Predictions

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