UFC 174 Predictions

UFC 174 is tomorrow night and I’m a bit behind getting my picks up this week, as I moved across the country near Vancouver, which is where this event is taking place on Saturday night. UFC 174 will be coming to us live from the Rogers Center in Vancouver, BC.

UFC 174 Best Bets

• Bet Bagautinov vs. Johnson Under 4.5 Rounds +135 (5Dimes)

Ali Bagautinov (13-2) is 3-0 in the UFC now, but is he ready to face Demetrious Johnson (19-2-0-1)? Johnson is off arguably his best win of his career, which was an opening round KO win of Benavidez. I can see this fight ending before the 4th round.

Mighty Mouse may struggle early on, as Bagautinov is a prime prospect. However, Johnson lands 55% of his takedown attempts and Bagautinov only has 50% TD defense. Once Johnson makes adjustments to deal with the Russian he’ll cruise to stoppage win.

• Bet Tyron Woodley +105 (5Dimes) vs. Rory MacDonald

Tyron Woodley (13-2) should win this fight in my opinion, as his early aggression should give him a considerable edge on the judges’ scorecards. Both fighters have great TD defense (MacDonald 88% vs. Woodley 94%), so this fight should stay standing up.

MacDonald has a 3’’ reach advantage that I’m worried about, but I expect Woodley to be able to close the distance. Woodley has a ton of power and has knocked out his L2 opponents (Condit & Koscheck). I like Woodley to pick up a decision win or early TKO/KO.

• Bet Rafael Cavalcante +140 (5Dimes) vs. Ryan Bader

Rafael Cavalcante (12-4-0-1) wins this fight if he comes out early, puts Bader up on the cage and works him hard. Bader doesn’t have the power to KO the Brazilian in my opinion and the only way he’ll win is if he takes this fight deep, as Cavalcante regularly gasses.

Ryan Bader (16-4) has four career losses (All by stoppage) and those losses never made it into the 3rd round of a fight. Cavalcante has a striking edge and his TD defense (80%) should be good enough to keep this fight standing early on where he can land big shots.

• Bet Ovince St. Preux –145 (BetDSI) vs. Ryan Jimmo

Ovince St. Preux (15-5) may be a bit unorthodox, but he has won four in a row including a 3-0 record in the UFC. Ryan Jimmo (19-3) is a tough fighter and being Canadian I’m a fan. However, OSP has way better wins on his resume and should cruise to a win.

OSP has had problems opening himself up to big shots due to the way he orchestrates his offense in the cage, but Jimmo isn’t really a fighter that can take advantage of that. Until Jimmo beats some top-level competition I won’t be betting on him too much.

• Bet Johnson / St. Preux / Sarafian / Easton Parlay +252 (Carbon)

Daniel Sarafian fights Kiichi Kunimoto in what should be an easy fight for him. Mike Easton has a tougher fight against Yves Jabouin, but I expect him to win. At –200 odds I’m not betting him SU though, as lately I’ve been getting burned on betting bigger favorites.

UFC 174 is in Canada – Canada’s to UFC Betting Sites

MMA Betting Site		Bonus	Rating	USA?	Review	Visit
	Intertops Sportsbook - UFC Betting	$200			Our review	Bet Now!
	MyBookie UFC Betting	$1000			Our review	Bet Now!
	BetUS - USA UFC Betting	$2500			Our review	Bet Now!
	Bodog MMA Sportsbook	$100			Our review	Bet Now!
	BetOnline MMA Sportsbook	$900			Our review	Bet Now!