UFC on Fuel TV 9 Predictions

UFC-FUEL9-PICKSAfter a short break the UFC is back this weekend with UFC on Fuel TV 9 on Saturday starting at 2pm ET. The event will be hosted at the Ericsson Globe Arena in Stockholm, Sweden. This is why the event starts so early, so make sure you place your bets early.

Last year in April the UFC went to Sweden for the first time and the event was sold out within hours. The fight card this Saturday is big, but took a big hit this week, as Alexander Gustafsson was ruled out of the main event against Mousasi due to injury.

UFC on Fuel TV 9 Betting Tips

  • Bet on Marcus Brimage +150 @ BetOnline *as a fellow Irish man I cannot agree with Scott here, McGregor inside the distance for me :edit by Will

Marcus Brimage (6-1) is 3-0 in the UFC since leaving TUF house. I was very impressed with Brimage in his win over Hettes who at the time was a highly touted prospect. Brimage will now fight another prospect with a lot of hype in Conor McGregor (12-2).

McGregor has won his L8 fights by stoppage due to his fierce striking. Brimage and McGregor are both heavy strikers, but after seeing Brimage beat Hettes I like him here. He utilized great takedown defense against Hettes and he’ll do the same this time.

Brimage not only has power behind his punches, but he also has excellent counter striking. McGregor has a lot of pressure on him in this fight and I feel that bettors aren’t giving enough respect to Brimage. I’ll take Brimage at +150 odds.

Brad Pickett (22-7) had a tough split decision loss to Wineland in his last fight, but I like him to bounce back. Mike Easton (13-2) is 3-1 in the UFC after losing his last fight to Assuncao. Easton’s L3 fights have all ended by decision and this one is likely to as well.

Easton has a small edge in the striking, but Pickett has more power and could catch Easton with a big shot. I feel the big edge in this fight is Pickett’s grappling. Pickett is active with takedowns (2.95 per 15 minutes) and will earn enough points to win a UD.

I was surprised to see that Pablo Garza (12-3) was such a big underdog this weekend against Diego Brandao (16-8). Brandao is 2-1 in the UFC against fairly weak competition with his loss coming against Elkins. Garza is 3-2 in the UFC and just beat Hominick.

Garza has a huge 9’’ reach advantage in the fight and he’s also 4’’ taller than Brandao. Garza lands an average of 3.54 strikes per minute compared to 2.15 SLpM by Brandao. Garza has to keep this fight standing up and he’ll come away with a win.

I’m going to parlay Mitrione and Pearson this weekend. I had Gustafsson on my parlay initially, but now that he has been forced out due to a cut on his face during training I’m just going to stick with the two big favorites rather than add another fighter.

Ross Pearson (14-6) is fresh off knocking out Sotiropoulos in his last fight and now fights Ryan Couture (6-1). Couture is making his UFC debut after being successful with Strikeforce, but Pearson has an active stand-up game that will frustrate Couture.

Matt Mitrione (5-2) has lost his L2 fights against Nelson and Kongo. He hasn’t been able to beat top competition, but he’ll now get a chance to pick up a much needed victory against Phillip De Fries (9-2). This is the last chance for Mitrione.

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