UFC Fight Night 51 Predictions
We have a great event coming up on Saturday at the Ginasio Nilson Nelson Gymnasium in Brasilia, Brazil. UFC Fight Night 51 will be available on UFC Fight Pass with the action starting at 5:45pm ET (Main Card – 8:00pm ET). Tune in, as the card looks promising.
Best Bets for UFC Fight Night 51
- Bet Antonio Silva ITD –165 (5Dimes) vs. Andrei Arlovski
Antonio Silva (18-5-1) had a 1-1-1 record in 2013 with a KO win against Overeem, TKO loss against Velasquez and a tie against Hunt. I thought he fought well in those fights. Andrei Arlovski (22-10-0-1) is back in the UFC and picked up a win over Schaub in June.
The win was unimpressive. Silva beat Arlovski in 2010 by decision in a Strikeforce fight already as well. Arlovski has been knocked out seven times in his career and Silva still has power, as he KO’ed Overeem last year. I look for Silva to beat Arlovski by TKO/KO.
- Bet Piotr Hallmann +186 (5Dimes) vs. Gleison Tibau
The underdogs went well last week and this week my top dog is Piotr Hallmann (15-2) against veteran Gleison Tibau (29-10). Tibau is going to have the crowd behind him, but the reason I like Hallmann is because he can defend takedowns and submission attempts.
Tibau doesn’t have power and he’ll simply look for takedowns and submissions. Hallmann stops 69% of TD attempts and his striking is better than Tibau. Hallmann averages 4.51 SLpM (Tibau – 1.93 SLpM) and he also has deceptive power (7 TKO/KO Wins).
- Bet Santiago Ponzinibbio +108 (Pinnacle) vs. Wendell Marques
Santiago Ponzinibbio (18-2) lost his UFC debut to LaFlare last year, but injury has hindered his career thus far. The Argentine fighter is healthy and going up against Wendell Marques (24-7). Marques is making his UFC debut, but he’s a big fighter with power.
Marques could easily win this fight by TKO/KO, but Ponzinibbio has a good chin and has only been KO’ed once. Ponzinibbio is a well-rounded fighter with a strong submission game and power. Marques has been tapped four times and I think he’ll get tapped.
- Bet Alcantara vs. Doane Under 2.5 Rounds –105 (BetOnline)
Iuri Alcantara (30-5-0-1) is a beast and he has put up a 5-2-0-1 record in the UFC including a recent KO win over Lee. Alcantara has stopped 25 of his opponents (13 TKO/KO – 12 Submissions). He’ll be fighting Russell Doane (14-3) who is 2-0 in the UFC.
Doane is also a finisher, as he has ended 11 of his opponents. The likelihood of this fight making it the distance is slim and I feel that we’re getting good odds on the under 2.5 rounds. Both of these guys are finishers and I like Alcantara to win by TKO/KO.
- Bet Silva / Santos / Alcantara Parlay +160 (Pinnacle)
I’ve already explained why I like Silva and Alcantara to win. Leonardo Santos (12-3-1) is 1-0-1 in the UFC and he just had a draw in his last fight against Parke. Efrain Escudero (22-8) is back in the UFC, but I have no idea why, as he was never good in the UFC.