UFC Fight Night 42 Predictions

This Saturday we have UFC Fight Night 42 coming to us live from the Tingley Coliseum in New Mexico. The main card will feature a total of six fights including a main event between Benson Henderson vs. Rustam Khabilov, that I can’t wait to watch.

Best Bets for UFC Fight Night 42

  • Bet on Ross Pearson –178 (Pinnacle) vs. Diego Sanchez

Ross Pearson (15-6-0-1) ended up with a NC in his last fight, but before that he had two in a row by TKO. Diego Sanchez (24-7) has lost his L2 fights by decision against Melendez and Jury. Sanchez is a warrior, but Pearson is the more talented fighter.

The odds on this fight going the distance are –240, which makes sense, as any lower and we’d all hammer it. With that in mind I’m on Pearson at –178 to win. I think he grinds out a decision win here. Pearson has the striking and stamina to take this fight easily.

  • Bet on Erik Perez –105 (Carbon) vs. Bryan Caraway

Bryan Caraway (18-6) is 4-1 in his L5 with a loss against Mizugaki while Erik Perez (14-5) is 9-1 n his L10 with a loss against Mizugaki as well. Perez lands way more strikes, absorbs fewer strikes and has better takedowns than Caraway, which is why I’m on him.

The only way Perez will lose this fight is if he allows Caraway to take him down and control the fight from top position. Caraway has poor striking and if this fight stays standing up the majority of the time Perez should be able to pick apart Caraway and win the fight.

  • Bet on Bobby Voelker –135 (BetDSI) vs. Lance Benoist

Lance Benoist (6-2) is 10 years younger than Bobby Voelker (24-11) and normally I’d side with the youth, but not in this fight. Benoist is 1-2 in the UFC with two straight losses. Voelker has lost three in a row and hasn’t won since 2011, but I like him to win this fight.

Voelker has much better offense in the cage, but he has terrible defense. If Voelker can land a couple takedowns and hold his own in the stand-up he’ll win. The problem is he absorbs 6.59 strikes per minute, which is very poor. If he improves his defense he’ll win.

  • Bet on Henderson / Pearson / Dodson / Dos Anjos Parlay +243 (5Dimes)

I’m also betting on Benson Henderson, Pearson, John Dodson and Rafael Dos Anjos on a parlay. All four of the fights are on the main card and I think the four favorites will win. Henderson needs to win to gain some momentum and I already mentioned I like Pearson.

Dodson fights Moraga, which is tough, but at the same time I’ve been impressed with Dodson lately. Dos Anjos fights Jason High and it should be an easy win for him as well. I’m not on any underdogs on the main card this week, which is rare for me.

posted in Predictions

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