UFC 161 Video Predictions

Below are my video predictions for UFC 161 and as a bonus this week, here is a free pick from my bet pack.

Roland Delorme $1.65 vs Edwin Figueroa $2.25 – I’ve heard Figueroa described on another site as a more powerful, but less capable on the ground Leonard Garcia. I tend to agree. He throws hard but his technique is lackluster and it gets worse as the fight goes. On the mat he struggles and his TDD is for lack of a better word ‘horra-awful’ (to clarify that’s horrible and awful combined together). Delorme is tough and scrappy and despite getting KOed in his last fight it took everything Rivera could throw at him to put him away. If and when Roland gets this fight to the ground he’ll be in control and could get the submission. But, if he doesn’t get the takedown or at least doesn’t get a lot of them I still think he will be able to outwork Figueroa on the feet with quick and straight combinations against a much wilder opponent. I think Delorme is getting undervalued here and as a result he is one of my favourite plays on this card. He has some decent value in the $1.60 range and I would recommend a mid range single bet along with working him into your parlays. For Figs, its a pass!

James Krause/ Sam Stout Total Rounds Over 2.5 – Krause does have knockout power and so does Sammy, despite just a single UFC KO, but I don’t see this fight ending early. Both guys are tough to finish on the feet and the combination of Stouts TDD and lack of an offensive submission game should prevent a finish on the mat as well. Play the Over.