UFC 154 Betting Odds, Preview and Predictions

The UFC is back in Canada this weekend for UFC 154, which is going to be hosted at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec. There is going to be five fights on the main card including the UFC Welterweight Championship between St. Pierre and Condit. The event in Montreal will boast one of the better main cards in the last few months and should provide plenty of excitement.

UFC 154 Main Card Picks

George St. Pierre (22-2) is back in the cage finally after a lengthy hiatus. Fighting in Montreal will be a huge boost for him and I’m sure the fans in Montreal are dying to see their superstar back in the cage. Carlos Condit (28-5) hasn’t fought since winning over Nick Diaz by decision back in February of this year. I bet on St. Pierre on my parlays, but not SU due to the short odds.

Both fighters are about even in the striking department, but St. Pierre is much better at defending strikes. St. Pierre also has an edge in takedowns, as he has averaged 4.3 takedowns per 15 minutes in the cage compared to Condit at just 0.81. Condit is also lacking in takedown defence. While this fight will be close I think GSP will be able to retain the UFC Welterweight title.

Johny Hendricks (13-1) is on a 4-fight win streak with his L2 wins over Fitch and Koscheck. Martin Kampmann (20-5) has won his L3 fights and won’t be an easy win for Hendricks, but I like Bigg Rigg still. Both fighters have similar striking games, but when it comes to the ground game Hendricks has the edge and he also has an edge in takedowns. Take Hendricks on the ML.

Francis Carmont (19-7) has won his L8 fights and is 3-0 since joining the UFC. Tom Lawlor (8-4-1) has been inconsistent in the UFC the past couple years. Lawlor struggles against wrestlers and I think Carmont will try to utilize some wrestling. Carmont is also a great striker that’s very accurate and I think he’ll be able to beat Lawlor in Montreal at UFC 154.

Constantinos Philippou (11-2-1) is 4-1 in the UFC with his lone lose coming in his debut last year. Nick Ring (13-1) is a Canadian who will be looking for some consistency in the cage, but this fight is a huge step up. Ring will struggle on his feet against a boxer like Philippou and it’s unlikely that Ring will be able to take the fight down to the ground, so I’m betting the favourite.

Mark Hominick (20-11) has lost his L3 fights in the cage including a split decision against Yagin his last time out. Hominick has to pick-up a win this weekend in Montreal against Pablo Garza (11-3), as he can’t afford to drop to 0-4 in his L4. Garza has lost his L2 fights after winning his 1st two fights in the UFC. Garza is a submission specialist and Hominick would be wise to stay on his feet.

Hominick has decent boxing in the cage and he should be able to beat Garza on his feet. Hominick lands more strikes per minute (4.05 vs. 2.52) when compared to Garza and the edge on the feet definitely goes to the Canadian. Hominick has cost bettors lots recently and it’s hard to bet on him at -290 odds, but he should be a good fighter to have on parlays this Saturday.

UFC 154 Video Predictions

Video Courtesy of Scottie from KamikazeOverdirve.net
posted in Fight of the Night, MMA Odds

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