Bellator 114 & WSOF 9 Predictions

This weekend there is no UFC, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t quality MMA action to bet on. Bellator 114 is on Friday and will be held at the Maverick Center in Utah. WSOF 9 is on Saturday in Las Vegas at the Hard Rock Hotel & Casino.

Bellator 114 Best Bets

  • Bet Daniel Weichel –186 (SportBet) vs. Matt Bessette

Daniel Weichel (32-8) fights Matt Bessette (13-4) in the Bellator Featherweight Tournament SF. Bessette was lucky to get the nod I thought when he beat Nunes by decision. Weichel on the other hand has been on a tear and won his L4 fights by submission.

Weichel will have the edge in striking and grappling in this fight. It wouldn’t surprise me if he tried to lock in a submission. Bessette has been submitted once in his career. Weichel should also be fresher, as he won his fight in R1 last month relatively easily.

  • Bet Alexander Shlemenko ITD –120 (5Dimes) vs. Brennan Ward

Alexander Shlemenko (49-7) is only 29, but he has fought in the cage over 50 times professionally in his career. Shlemenko is a great kickboxer with a lot of power, which is evident by his 29 TKO/KO wins. Ward has never been KO’ed, but this is a tough fight for him.

Ward was a surprise winner in the middleweight tournament, but he’ll get a shot to beat the Russian for the MW title. Ward likes to use his power to stand and bang, but that won’t work against a striker as capable of Shlemenko. Take the Russian to win ITD.

WSOF 9 Best Bets

  • Bet Rousimar Palhares –203 (SportBet) vs. Steve Carl

Steve Carl (21-3) won the WW title against Josh Burkman by submission as an underdog. Even as the titleholder Carl is the dog in this fight, but there is a good reason and that’s his opponent. Rousimar Palhares (15-6) should be able to outclass Carl on the ground.

Palhares was dropped from the UFC, but it wasn’t because of his talent. Palhares will utilize his jiu-jitsu and end this fight early if he wants the WSOF WW title, which I think he will. Carl has 16 submission wins, but grappling with Palhares will prove futile.

  • Bet Tyler Stinson +197 (SportBet) vs. Josh Burkman

Josh Burkman (26-10) hasn’t fought since losing to Carl, but he gets power striking Tyler Stinson (27-9) this weekend. Stinson is now on a 4-fight win streak with all of the wins coming by TKO/KO, which includes his WSOF debut win over Araujo in the final round.

Burkman has a good submission game and wrestling, but Stinson has 1-punch KO power. Burkman has never been knocked out in a fight, but the veteran is now 33 years old. Stinson is unlikely to grind out a decision win, but he has the power to win this quickly.

Parlay Bets

  • Bet Shlemenko / Weichel / Palhares / Okami Parlay +263 (SportBet)

I’ve already explained why I like the first three fighters on this parlay. I decided to take Shlemenko on the ML rather than ITD just in case he wins by decision. I also added Yushin Okami who is a huge favorite to beat Svetlozar Savov on the WSOF 9 main card.

Okami is fighting for the first time since being cut from the UFC and I don’t expect him to have the same result as Finch with his new promotion. Okami lost to Souza in his last fight, but before that he had won three in a row including a split decision over Lombard.

posted in Predictions

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